Russian Just Surpassed Dutch
Russian has now surpassed Dutch as the sixth widely-spoken language for English speakers! It has 2.92 million learners!
This ascent has been going on for a while, I wonder when it will stop. Crazy! Last I checked it was between Swedish and Irish.
Congratulations to the team!
Not long after the Russian course came out, I received some small measure of resentment for speculating how long it would take for the number of learners in the Russian course to overtake the number learning Ukrainian. I expect that over time, Russian will overtake Portuguese and I expect it will take less time than DonFiore has guessed. I think Russian will overcome Portuguese in 18 to 24 months (albeit on further consideration, his timeframe is just slightly longer than 36 months).
I actually based my prediction on numbers. With the current rate of about 20k/month, it would take almost 20 years for Russian to make up the 4.66 million difference. Since Duolingo is constantly growing it will likely happen sooner but I still wouldn't go under 60 months. Meanwhile, Italian & co are running away from Russian at a much faster rate.
I remember that, yes. I suspect that it will eventually surpass even Italian but that may be many, many years from now...I suspect it will never surpass German.
Can be much faster, see below (not much later than the end of the next year). Time to start the Russian course :)
The question would be...How many of those learners finish the course?keeping in mind how difficult Russian is I think there are many more people who finish the Dutch course than the Russian one :)
We don't have info to speculate here, but it makes the Russian team achievement even bigger - to motivate more people to learn a 'harder' language.
The gap is so much bigger now that I feel confident saying Russian won't surpass Portuguese within this decade. The ascent will stop after that eventually happens.
In ~last 3 mths PorT +8.9%,<pre>
RU PoL 36.4%, Norw'N 25.6%, TuRk 21.1%, EsperantO 17.3%</pre>
Based on that, in just over 1yr (2018 Q1) RU could take over Portuguese.
That is the year when China could take over the world's economy & Russia will have more dominance in Asia (most populous) than EU.
Esperanto will be (is) also the most improved language, currently +32% (based on ~2mn), or ~1.5mn learners. Have in mind that it takes ~10x faster to become fluent compared to native languages, if not in the same group.
Right, and in last three months, Greek +10000%, so Greek will overtake Spanish as the most popular course around April. Percentages mean nothing, the actual numbers matter (see above).
Esperanto on the other hand was the second slowest growing course based on actual numbers, might have overtaken HU & CY since then, now ranking 16/19 (not counting EL or RO).
Greek was +328%. I only used Linear relationship. Esperanto was 7.4% last month. In next 3 months x3~22.2% (>17.3% last 3mths), so it's accelerating.
Esperanto was on #14 all the time since I started the course & recorded the stats. I compare only for English learners to be consistent across all languages.
Additive is too simplistic & inappropriate approach. GDP growth , compound interest... don't use additive approach. Most relationships are proportional or exponential & at some stage might reach a plateau. In some instances the numbers decline as some learners give up & unsubscribe.
I hope this helps. (One who) Hope(s) in Latin is Esperanto, so we hope that Esperanto is much more fun to learn/communicate. It's a few times faster to finish Esperanto, so the the popularity grows faster. Have fun & don't stress about the numbers.
Russian is an important language nowadays. And well certain internet ads cough might attract some learners as well if you know what I mean haha
It could very well surpass portugese and sometimes in the future italian. It will not surpass german. No srsly on my honor. It won't!